Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.203094 1.397888 1.606756 1.846531 2.113315 2.400174 2.731060
2025-02-16 0.812042 1.067960 1.368254 1.742516 2.192128 2.710495 3.348666
2025-02-23 0.596982 0.882144 1.245520 1.732150 2.355579 3.115976 4.100945
2025-03-02 0.439915 0.728373 1.125930 1.694406 2.465063 3.451217 4.783598
2025-03-09 0.344534 0.633897 1.061975 1.710031 2.631456 3.857854 5.571787
2025-03-16 0.267514 0.547003 0.990077 1.697926 2.749323 4.198910 6.285830
2025-03-23 0.227319 0.509287 0.983192 1.774442 2.991508 4.716505 7.257483
2025-03-30 0.192406 0.471893 0.968988 1.834199 3.208634 5.206129 8.209503
2025-04-06 0.151777 0.412936 0.907819 1.809075 3.290820 5.501611 8.897044
2025-04-13 0.126457 0.378083 0.882481 1.837691 3.454462 5.920103 9.773723
2025-04-20 0.103819 0.342580 0.849471 1.847498 3.585401 6.292264 10.593992
2025-04-27 0.085503 0.311690 0.819815 1.858377 3.715968 6.666608 11.428323
2025-05-04 0.067705 0.276966 0.777976 1.844891 3.809088 6.994889 12.219937
2025-05-11 0.051573 0.240500 0.725693 1.805337 3.854139 7.249781 12.912077
2025-05-18 0.041905 0.219609 0.704462 1.823926 4.002077 7.676201 13.885341
2025-05-25 0.032029 0.192982 0.663972 1.797602 4.065193 7.964492 14.650336
2025-06-01 0.026044 0.177475 0.647853 1.819828 4.217725 8.405680 15.670295
2025-06-08 0.020154 0.158621 0.618748 1.809734 4.307073 8.742109 16.531082
2025-06-15 0.017820 0.154676 0.630109 1.891339 4.577574 9.398513 17.931064
2025-06-22 0.015333 0.148421 0.633562 1.954686 4.815139 10.005536 19.266346
2025-06-29 0.011474 0.131364 0.600753 1.928528 4.871911 10.296864 20.086905
2025-07-06 0.009326 0.122595 0.591820 1.958715 5.043691 10.797047 21.268694
2025-07-13 0.007297 0.112399 0.575750 1.969071 5.174453 11.227374 22.343561